Are accurate election predictions luck or skill?
From Standup Mathematician. Go to https://ground.news/standup for a data-driven, objective way to stay fully informed on the issues most important to you. Save 40% on the Ground News unlimited access Vantage plan with my link. Thanks to Jop Schaap for analysing how lucky I was. See their report here: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/yrzp0z3r2u4dgistmtor1/Lucky_predictions_Jop_Schaap.pdf?rlkey=c0ctkocele9sso7kh46y73kcp&dl=0 If you’d like to see…