From Graham Stephan.
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THE BITCOIN MONEY PROBLEM:
We’ve seen 10% annualized returns in the SP500 since the 1920s, but we’ve also printed an average of 10% more money, every year, during that exact same time. This is the problem that many peple believe Bitcoin solves.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND:
As of today, 62% of adults say they own stocks, 65% say they own a home, but just 14% say they own Bitcoin. Who’s buying? It’s a mix of institutions and ETFs who are adding as much Bitcoin to their balance sheets as they possibly can.
In this case, Microstrategy currently owns 2.6% of its circulating supply, Tesla added it to their reserve in 2021, BlackRock’s ETF is one of the fastest growing funds – of ALL TIME, pension funds are beginning to buy in, and even the United States has a stockpile worth tens of billions of dollars.
As proof of this, 261 entities currently have bitcoin on their balance sheets (as a replacement for holding on to the US dollar) and 9 countries actively own it, including China who seems to be quickly catching up to the United States.
All of this is becoming so significant that 65% of investors say that “they plan to buy or invest in digital assets in the future." In terms of performance since 2015:
Inflation has averaged 2.65%
The Dollar Has Lost -26% Of Its Value
Home Prices Are Up Roughly 100%
Gold Has Risen 181%
The SP500 Has Increased 200%
And Bitcoin is up 35,000%
THE BITCOIN RISKS:
Warren Buffet Said: “You can’t value Bitcoin because it’s not a value-producing asset…If you buy something like Bitcoin or some cryptocurrency, you don’t really have anything that has produced anything. You’re just hoping the next guy pays more.”
To clarify this even further, he then explained that “Assets, to have value, have to deliver something to somebody. And there’s only one currency that’s accepted. You can come up with all kinds of things — we can put up Berkshire coins… but in the end, this is money (referring to a $20 bill), and there’s no reason in the world why the United States government is going to let Berkshire money replace theirs.”
This is why I’ve personally just taken the approach of investing a small amount of my portfolio into a Bitcoin ETF, on a regular basis, regardless of where it trades. If it’s worth more money one day – GREAT…and if it’s not…it really wouldn’t make that big of a difference.
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